At present worldwide freight transportation business is increasing dramatically – volume of fright transportation increased almost twice in comparison to growth of passenger transportation. According to the forecast the volume of freight transportation will triple by 2020.

Thus, the largest increase will be in the Asia-Pacific region. Forecasting service of international air transportation company AirBus reports that:

1. average annual growth of cargo transportation will remain unchanged and equal to 8.1%, but transcontinental flights is expected to increase up to 9.2%, for Asia - up to 9.3%, for transport between Asia-Pacific and Europe – up to 7.3 %, international traffic in other regions will grow up to 6.9%;
2. the number of cargo aircrafts in the world will increase from 1510 of average capacity 45,5 tons in 1999 to 2240 of 50,5 tons accordingly in 2009.

In the period from 2009 to 2019, the number of freight aircrafts will increase to 3450 with average capacity of 53,3 tons.

Based on above, the air transport will increase significantly in next 15 years worldwide.

This forecast describes possible ways of cargo transportation development in the future. In contrast to mathematical predictions it is not based on calculations.

There are three scenario:

• Optimistic
• Realistic
• Pessimistic

This Master Plan contains a realistic scenario. The scenario is based and on basic assumptions, as set forth in this section.

The below aspects are particularly important for the development of air services on short-term and medium-term planning.

Stabilization of internal situation in Ukraine and opening of the borders stimulate an increase of international air services. A lot of airlines from Western Europe and other regions already fly to Kyiv. This may be reason for significant increase of flights by foreign airlines to Kyiv certainly exceeding an average European level.

The important point is that the Object is focused on establishment and development the base for all airlines. Geographical location of the Object may be used as a separation of the Far East and Western Europe. Therefore the Object will be central for the flights from India, China, Pakistan, Iran, Middle East and Arabian countries of Southeast Asia on one side and Europe, USA and Latin America on the other side.

In case it’s necessary to maintain air communication with other continents, the Object will be able to provide the airlines with all required conditions.

The Object will provide all facilities for air transportation at a high technology level and in compliance with international standards.

 

 

 

All planned measures will increase the traffic volumes and, consequently, revenues.

During short-term planning of this market segment it is likely to rely on a constant, unchanging traffic volume.

Below are the volumes of cargo transportation, the number of operations on aircrafts take-offs and landings, predictable airlines shares in traffic volumes.

Air cargo transportation, airlines activity

Goods transportation from 1 to 15 years (annually), in thousand tons

Years	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Airlines of world countries	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Airlines of Ukraine	0	4	5	6	7	8	10	12	14	16	18	21	24	28	32
Airlines of CIS	14	15	15	18	20	23	27	31	35	39	44	50	57	65	73
Transit of any Airlines	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	16
Total	20	26	29	34	38	44	51	59	67	75	84	95	107	121	136

Annual Number of Flights

Years	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Airlines of world countries	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Airlines of Ukraine	0	50	60	72	86	104	124	149	172	197	227	261	300	345	397
Airlines of CIS	770	809	849	973	1106	1260	1436	1640	1792	1962	2151	2362	2598	2861	3156
Transit of any Airlines	250	263	276	331	397	476	572	686	789	907	1043	1200	1379	1586	1824
Total	0	0	1100	1265	1455	1673	1924	2212	2434	2677	2945	3239	3563	3920	4312

According to passenger transportation forecast the diagrams displays airlines’ shares in air transportation services and the number of performed flights.

Airlines’ Share in Total Air Transportation in 1st Year

Airlines’ Share in Total Air Transportation in 20th Year

Airlines’ Share in Total Flights in 1st Year

Airlines’ Share in Total Flights in 20th Year